On Application of Mathematical Modeling in the Spread of HIV/AIDS Epidemic

Authors: Julius Bassey, Bassey JE, Okereke CE | Natural & Applied Sciences Mathematics Research 19 pages 5,756 words

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Mathematical models here serve as tools for understanding the epidemiology of Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) and Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome (AIDS) if they are carefully constructed. The research emphasis is on the epidemiological impacts of AIDS and the rate of spread of HIV/AIDS in any given population through the numericalization of the Basic reproductive rate of infection (R0). Applicable Deterministic models, Classic Endemic Model (SIR), Commercial Sex Workers (CSW) model, Dynamic model and Stability Analysis are explained. The models show that AIDS disease progressively increases with years and it is thus concluded that if the current trend is unchecked, a catastrophic AIDS epidemic (Pandemic) will occur in the near future. 

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